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10-Yr Scientific forecast!
Here you will find a 10-years science and technology forecast! While scientific sites and databases focus mostly on the past, alternativehypotheses is the only website to provide, thanks to its statistical engine, an estimation of future knowledge! This panoptic panorama on our future will help future studies by adding more comprehensive predictions and innovative assumptions. In our view, combining many forecasts may improve accuracy and even creativity of "future thinkers".
|Human become slaves/toys Technological singularity : Stephen Hawking recently evoked the hypothesis that robots could end the humanity. What could we expect if artificial intelligence outperforms human intelligence? (Le 01/12/2020 09h14)|
Read an answer to Hawking from Kurzweil in 2001 :
My argument is that AI will implement empathy, so probably, robots would behave with respect to their creators! said BG. About technological singularity accounts, this wikipedia article. said BG.
|True Signs of alien life will be found by detecting non-random electromagnetic signals (Le 01/10/2020 15h01)|
Taking into account the Drake equation evaluating the the number of technological civilizations that might exist in our galaxy, the SETI organization looks for proofs of alien life existence. If it succeeds in achieving this goal, it will be the most incredible news in the history of mankind! said BG.
|Google Play or Everywhere One of the following vocal assistant will be the first computer program to pass the Turing test without any human help. (Le 01/09/2020 08h15)|
Additionaly, I would argue that Turing test might not be so selective... I would propose an extension of the test (if no-one has proposed it before) that is : "an intelligence is human, if any living or artificial intelligence capable of judging votes that it is..." said BG. An exemple of a dialog given by Ray Kurzweil with Eugene Goostman the robot of Princeton University. " We are therefore proud to declare that Alan Turing's test was passed for the first time on Saturday. Kevin Warwick, PhD Not so sure... said BG.
|False KIC 8462852 will provide the first evidence of an alien life (Le 01/10/2020 08h18)|
Weird flux were found coming from this star. Researchers are puzzled as nothing like that should come from this kind of star.
Look at the planet hunter website for helping these researchers and at Wright's blog dealing with alien's megastructures said BG.
|Artificial intelligence Religions: religious beliefs are often associated with a high degree of anthropocentrism. Which discipline will provide the first proof against human-centered view of the world, and consequently religions? (Le 06/10/2021 22h43)|
To be more precise with these hypotheses: here artificial intelligence refers to machines passing the Turing test; genetics is about modifying the human species toward other forms of life; extraterrestrial life refers to the discovery of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe; philosophy refers to any form of intellectual advance that makes anthropocentrism outdated, including new cosmological models. said BG.
|An ancient american tongue Voynich: The Voynich manuscript secret will be uncovered. The source language is: (Le 06/10/2025 00h09)|
Only a few words have been deciphered by a careful analysis of the numerous illustrations of the manuscript. for example the word Chiron a Centaur has been identified. said BG. See this reference A Preliminary Analysis of the Botany, Zoology, and Mineralogy of the Voynich Manuscript by Arthur O. Tucker, Rexford H. Talbert HerbalGram. 2013; American Botanical Council. Here one of their illustration for a plant that could be "Caulanthus Heterophyllus". It is native to California and Baja California, say the authors. said BG.
|Yes Asteroids: with the increasing detection of asteroids near the earth orbit, it will happen that some fall on the moon and provoke a spectacular view from the earth. (Le 01/10/2020 07h55)|
It has already happened and was even photographed! See this link a picture from Jose Madiedo, a professor at the University of Huelva. We could expect that such a phenomenon of a large magnitude, seen by million of people could increase the awareness in the asteroid threats and have some political consequences. said BG.
|AI singularity Singularities: Among these potential major changes which one will occur the first? (Le 01/09/2020 13h57)|
In my view, AI singularity is among the most probable paradigm change humanity will face (and generate!). However, all the possibilities listed here have an epistemological potential of "changing everything": I mean culture, religions, economy, and even metaphysics. The importance of the question is that given the order in which these likely divergences will appear, history of humanity will follow radically different ways. And face different challenges and threats... said BG.
|False EmDrive thruster: propulsion systems that donâ€™t need propellant as the EmDrive (electromagnetic drive) is possible (Le 01/01/2027 11h51)|
EmDrive is one of the spaceship equipment that would allow interstellar travels. The problem is that no proof of feasability or even theoretical arguments demonstrate that this system could be designed (picture: White et al. via AIAA) said BG.
|Yes, limited to certain people Upgraded reality: augmented reality is only a step toward what I call upgraded reality, in which people live through separate customised realities with their own sets of perception-modifying devices (Le 01/08/2021 10h04)|
The idea of "upgraded reality" is a profound change in the way a human being interacts with his environment and the world. The physical and the sociocultural worlds that have always been conceived as our common reference, will be customized by each person so that group of people will adhere to almost non-overlapping perceptions. The only limit will be set by the Pauli exclusion principle. said BG. In this model, the main concern of major companies would be to propose "worlds" in other terms, cultures, perceptions, interactions that fit well to the needs, the tastes, and even the libido of their customers. As in the question of the effects of hypersleep on our societies upgraded reality will extend the limits of our planet for an always increasing population. These parallel realities could help people finding an acceptable place and destiny and reduce conflicts though new world political instances (a kind of World Union of Upgraded Realities) that would allocate physical resources and manage possible conflicts said BG.
|Yes Upgraded reality hypothesis: with new technologies new kind of psychotherapists should be trained to work on reality modification rather than cognition reshaping (Le 01/08/2021 13h51)|
A criteria of mental illness is a disturbance of reality perception and one goal of mental health care is to bring the patient in a better relationship with reality, and his environment. With new technologies, reality could be modified sufficiently to meet the patients' needs, like an extreme extension of what is made 'nidotherapy'. Psychiatric classifications, psychotherapies would be profoundly modified because one way to provide wellbeing could be the modification of reality! New kind of psychotherapist or 'reality builders' should be trained. said BG. This should have also profound consequences in rehabilitation, recovery and empowerment approaches. These approaches focus on the patients' decisions about their own life and projects. With upgraded realities, it would be about helping to reshape environment to recover health. said BG.
|True The human (and animal) brain implements quantum computation for that it was shaped through evolutionary processes within a microscopic world where quantum physics applies and is efficient (Le 01/12/2020 13h56)|
The brain has evolved according to the rules of natural selection, which are based on optimizing the trade-off between efficiency and complexity. Because of its structure, it is based on neurochemistry, which makes it sensitive to the fundamental laws of quantum physics. The latter make it possible to account for microscopic phenomena (atomic, molecular) and less well for macroscopic phenomena. As a result, the brain has evolved in a quantum environment by nature. As a result, it is natural to be interested in the possible implementation in the cognitive processes of quantum phenomena. Without going so far as to think that consciousness is of this nature as Penrose or Eccles defend it, one can make the hypothesis that quantum computations can here and there be used in our brain. When will we see the development of quantum neuroscience research? said BG. See John Joe McFadden , Professor of Molecular Genetics at the University of Surrey-
McFadden, J. (2000). Quantum Evolution. HarperCollins. ISBN 0-00-255948-X.
and other writings said Loomyer.